BackGeopolitical risk
Geopolitical risk
Risk Domain
AI developers or state-like actors competing in an AI ‘race’ by rapidly developing, deploying, and applying AI systems to maximize strategic or economic advantage, increasing the risk they release unsafe and error-prone systems.
"As AI is increasingly seen as a powerful technology, countries are racing to develop it ahead of their geopolitical rivals, a competition that could lead to geopolitical tensions [138], [139]... The emphasis of this risk is on harms that result from second-order effects, where geopolitical instabilities result from the race to develop AI, rather than on the direct consequences of the deployment or use of AI itself."
Entity: Who or what caused the harm
Intent: Whether the harm was intentional or accidental
Timing: Whether the risk is pre- or post-deployment
Other risks from Chin (2025) (5)
CBRN
4.2 Cyberattacks, weapon development or use, and mass harmHumanIntentionalPost-deployment
Cyber offense
4.2 Cyberattacks, weapon development or use, and mass harmOtherIntentionalPost-deployment
Sudden loss of control
7.1 AI pursuing its own goals in conflict with human goals or valuesAI systemOtherPost-deployment
Gradual loss of control
5.2 Loss of human agency and autonomyOtherUnintentionalOther
Environmental risk
6.6 Environmental harmOtherUnintentionalPre-deployment